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    2019~2020年奉贤服务业形势分析与研判

    摘要

    2019年,奉贤区服务业加快发展,规模不断增长,对奉贤区经济稳定运行发挥了重要的支撑作用。2019年1~9月,奉贤区服务业增加值占全区增加值比重与工业越来越接近,形成了“双轮驱动”的经济增长格局。从奉贤区服务业细分行业来看,批发和零售业稳步增长,房地产市场恢复增长,证券市场交易开始回暖。预计2020年,奉贤区消费品市场稳中上升,房地产市场保持较快增速,金融市场在经过调整之后逐步升温。

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    Abstract

    In 2019,the service industry in Fengxian accelerated its development and its scale continued to grow,which played an important role for the total economy. From January to September in 2019,the added value of the service industry in Fengxian is 29.81 billion yuan,increase of 7.4% by year over year,accounting for 46.4% of the total industry;the tax revenue of service industry is 17.304 billion yuan,an increase of 4.4% by year over year,accounting for 42.21% of the total industry,which was lower than last year. This was mainly due to the sharp decline of tax revenue in information transmission,software and information technology services. The investment in fixed assets of service industry was 27.64 billion yuan,an increase of 20.6% by year over year,accounting for more than 50% of the whole industry,up to 79.68%. From the perspective of segmentation industry,the wholesale and retail industry grew steadily,the real estate market resumed growth,and the securities market began to pick up. It is expected that in 2020,the consumer goods market in fengxian will rise steadily,the real estate market maintained a rapid growth,and the financial market gradually heated up after adjustment.

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    作者简介
    纪园园:纪园园,经济学博士,上海社会科学院经济研究所、数量经济研究中心助理研究员,主要研究方向为计量经济学与大数据分析、计量经济理论。
    陈蓉:陈蓉,中共上海市奉贤区委党校副教授,党建与文化研究中心主任,研究方向为两新组织党建。
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