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谢伏瞻
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李培林
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    祁连山人类活动变化与绿色发展最新进展(1985~2020)

    摘要

    祁连山是丝绸之路经济带和泛第三极的核心区之一,是我国西部重要生态屏障。2017年以来的大规模生态环境治理使祁连山的生态系统得到了较好的保护与恢复,但是也使区域原有的生计与发展模式受到了影响与挑战。通过空天地一体化的系统调查,对祁连山区采矿、水电建设、旅游、过度放牧等人类活动发展进程进行系统梳理,对近年生态环境治理的成效进行定量化评估。2018~2019年数据显示,治理区域内人类活动强度明显下降,生态系统服务供给能力有所提升、环境污染物排放量减少,生态环境质量总体向好;但治理给区域经济造成了短期的负面影响,区域传统产业产值下降,敏感人群生计风险有所增加。单从局地考虑,生态环境治理的经济损失大于生态环境收益。但考虑到祁连山生态系统服务对其他区域的远程耦合价值,则生态收益远大于局地经济损失。基于研究结果,建议以“两山论”为理论基础,以“政策托底,生计提升,产业转型”为导向,通过加大区域生态补偿力度与精准性,提升区域农牧民生计资本水平,引导祁连山区域形成以高端生态旅游、绿色有机农业为龙头的可持续发展模式,提高生计资本的产出效率,助力实现祁连山区生态与生计双赢的发展目标。

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    Abstract

    Qilian Mountain is one of the core areas of the Silk Road Economic Belt and the Pan-third pole. It is an important ecological barrier in the western part of China. The large-scale ecological environment management since 2017 has enabled the Qilian Mountain ecosystem to be better protected and restored,but it has also affected and challenged the region’s original livelihood and development model. Through the systematic investigation of the integration of air and space,the development process of mine,hydropower,tourism,overgrazing and other human activities in Qilian Mountain is systematically sorted out,and the governance effectiveness of ecological environment management in recent years are quantitatively evaluated. According to the data of 2018-2019,the intensity of human activities in the governance area has decreased significantly,the supply capacity of ecosystem services has increased,the discharge of environmental pollutants has decreased,and the quality of ecological environment has generally improved. But The governance has caused short-term negative impacts on the regional economy. The output value of regional traditional industries has declined,and the livelihood risks of sensitive people have increased. From the local point of view,the economic loss of ecological environment governance is greater than the ecological environment benefits. However,considering the remote coupling value of the Qilian Mountain ecosystem services to other regions,the ecological benefits are far greater than the local economrc losses. Based on the research results,it is suggested to use the “two mountains theory” as the theoretical basis and the “policy support,livelihood improvement,industrial transformation” as the guide,and increase the regional ecological compensation and accuracy to improve the livelihood capital of regional farmers and herdsmen. Guide the Qilian Mountain area to form a sustainable development model with high-end eco-tourism and green organic agriculture as the leading model,improve the output efficiency of livelihood capital,and help achieve the development goal of ecological and livelihood win-win in Qilian Mountain.

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    作者简介
    李新:李新,中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院研究员,博士生导师,主要从事陆面数据同化、遥感和GIS在水文水资源及冰冻圈研究中的应用、流域集成研究。
    祁元:祁元,中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院副研究员,主要从事生态遥感、土地利用/覆盖动态变化、GIS空间建模和集成开发研究。
    宋晓谕:宋晓谕,中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院助理研究员,主要从事生态经济方向研究。
    王宏伟:王宏伟,中国科学院西北生态环境资源研究院工程师,主要从事陆地生态和水文过程研究。
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