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    证券公司系统重要性评价

    摘要

    中国人民银行等部门联合印发的《关于完善系统重要性金融机构监管的指导意见》,是我国建立系统性金融机构监管的初步探索,为防范发生系统性金融风险、完善我国宏观审慎监管体系迈出了重要一步。本文结合国内外系统重要性金融机构评价的研究进展和监管实践,从机构规模、关联性、可替代性、复杂性和资产变现五个方面建立了全面的证券公司系统重要性评价体系和计算方法,首次对全国131家证券公司的系统重要性进行排名和分析。研究发现:第一,我国证券公司系统重要性总体分化严重,系统重要性得分差距较大,具有中部集中程度高的特征,中信证券、海通证券、华泰证券为2018年证券公司系统重要性前三名;第二,我国证券公司之间、证券公司与银行等其他机构之间关联密切,系统重要性排名较低的证券公司有可能因关联性出现群体性风险,从而进一步引发系统性金融危机,监管机构在监管系统大型证券公司的同时也要注重监管中小型证券公司群体风险,建立全面的宏观审慎监管体系。

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    Abstract

    The People’s Bank of China and other departments jointly issued the “Guiding Opinions on Improving the Supervision of Systemically Important Financial Institutions” in 2018,which is a preliminary exploration of establishing a systemic financial institution supervision in China,to prevent systemic financial risks and improve China’s macroprudential supervision. The system has taken an important step. Based on the research progress and regulatory practice of systemically important financial institutions at home and abroad,this paper establishes a comprehensive system valuation system and calculation method for securities companies from five aspects:institution size,relevance,substitutability,complexity and asset realization. For the first time,the systemic importance of 131 securities companies nationwide was ranked and analyzed. The study found that:First,the systemic importance of China’s securities companies is seriously divided,the systemic importance scores are large,and the central concentration is high. CITIC Securities,Haitong Securities,and Huatai Securities are the top three systems of securities companies in 2018. Secondly,there is a close relationship between securities companies in China,securities companies and other institutions such as banks. Securities companies with lower systemic importance may have group risks due to their relevance,which will further trigger a systemic financial crisis. In supervising large securities companies,regulators should also pay attention to supervising the group risk of small and medium-sized securities companies and establish a comprehensive macro-prudential supervision system.

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    作者简介
    孙国茂:孙国茂:青岛大学经济学院特聘教授,博士生导师;研究领域:公司金融、资本市场、制度经济学。
    李猛:李猛:济南大学应用经济学硕士,中国社会科学院工业经济研究所博士研究生。
    孙同岩:孙同岩:济南大学金融学硕士,齐鲁财富网研究中心高级研究员。
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