2018年是法国总统马克龙落实自己对推进欧洲一体化承诺的关键年。从新年后的第一次讲话开始,马克龙就强调推进欧洲一体化的重要性。随后,他还建议欧盟国家搞了一次大型的“民主征求意见活动”,实际上大大地宣传了欧盟的好处。趁美国总统特朗普到欧洲参加纪念第一次世界大战结束的活动之机,马克龙与特朗普又围绕北约与欧洲防务共同体建设问题进行了磋商,甚至还发生了争吵。此后,法国与德国努力发挥了“轴心”的作用,推动欧洲军事一体化起步。
然而,此后法国爆发的“黄背心”运动及法国与意大利的争吵,显示出欧盟内部对推动欧洲一体化的不同看法,反映出欧洲内部“精英政治”与“平民政治”之间的博弈。2019年是欧洲议会大选年,欧洲各国的民粹主义政治家在民调中的声望在上升,让此次选举成为未来欧洲一体化发展的风向标。
欧洲一体化是个“有福能同享”“有难却未必能同当”的机制。当欧洲经济发展遇到巨大的瓶颈时,推动欧洲一体化建设就显得难上加难。马克龙想从推动宏大的欧洲一体化计划入手,最后却只能满足于推动该过程的小步前进了。
<<2018 was a critical year for French President Macron to implement his commitments to promoting European integration. In his first speech after the New Year,Emmanuel Macron emphasized the importance of promoting European integration. Later,under his suggestion,the EU countries have engaged in a large-scale “democratic consultation”,which has proved to be a big campaign in favor of the EU. While the US President Trump went to Europe to participate in the event to commemorate the end of the First World War,president Macron exchanged view with him on the development of NATO and the construction of a European defense community. Obviously,they were not on the same tune,and even quarreled. Then,France and Germany have tried to lead the construction of a burgeoning European defense community.
However,the Yellow Vest movement that broke out in France and the quarrel between France and Italy showed different views of the EU member countries on promoting European integration,reflecting a sort of game between “elite politics” and “civilian politics” within Europe. 2019 is a European Parliament’s election year. The public opinion polls show that populist politicians are on the rise in a lot of European countries,making this election a weathervane for the future European integration development.
European integration is a mechanism of “sharing benefits in prosperity”,but barely a mechanism of “sharing responsibilities in difficulties”. When the European economic development encounters huge bottlenecks,it will be more difficult to promote European integration. Emmanuel Macron started with a grand plan of European integration,but he might end up by only being content with small steps in pushing forward the process.
<<