2018年,西亚国家在全球油价的波动中受到一定负面影响。作为国际贸易发展所依赖的安全局势堪忧,美国中东政策的重要改变激化了西亚国家内部矛盾,导致其国际贸易的意愿与能力发生改变。中国与西亚国家的双边贸易在周期性变化中向着中方逆差扩大的方向发展,进口博览会为中国扩大从西亚进口提供了更大支持。中国从西亚国家的国别与商品贸易结构基本保持稳定,沙特、伊朗、伊拉克等国家仍是中国在西亚主要的贸易伙伴。展望未来,中国与西亚国家的双边贸易将受益于“一带一路”高质量发展,成为中阿合作的亮点,但各种内外部风险因素对贸易的影响更加明显,需要关注与防范。
<<The west Asian countries were affected by the fluctuation of international crude oil price in 2018. The security situation made it more difficult for the international trade. US government’s Middle East Policies’ adjustments have changed the ability and willingness of West Asian countries on carrying out the trade. The deficit of China will increase in the cycle while the Import Expo will provide more opportunities and support for the bilateral trade. The countries and category structure keeps stable and Saudi Arab,Iran and Iraq are still China’s main trade partner countries in this region. In the future,the trade between China and the West Asian countries will benefit from the high quality development of “The Belt and Road” Initiative,which will be the highlights of China-Arabian Countries’ cooperation. But the affection of the different internal and outside risk factors will be more obvious,which need to be noticed and taken care of.
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