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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
蔡 昉
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    大国在海湾竞争的新态势及影响

    摘要

    海湾地区是当今全球重要的油气产地和重要的能源通道,近年来,地缘政治的变化等因素导致海湾局势错综复杂,安全形势不容乐观。伊朗核问题全面协议依然前景不明,并由此导致美国与伊朗关系的持续紧张。沙特阿拉伯与伊朗在海湾地区的对抗和角力愈益明显。美国、俄罗斯、欧盟等大国和组织在海湾地区纷纷扩展自己的影响和势力,加深了海湾地区局势的复杂性。为了维护自身利益和打击敌对力量,海湾地区国家正处在新一轮的盟友体系缔造过程中,加大了海湾地区局势的不可预测性。

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    Abstract

    The Gulf region is an important oil and gas producing area and an important energy channel in the world. In recent years,the situation in the Gulf is complex and the security situation is not optimistic because of geopolitical changes and other factors. The uncertain prospect of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action(JCPOA)has led to continuing tensions between the United States and Iran. The confrontation and struggle between Saudi Arabia and Iran in the Gulf region are becoming more and more obvious. The United States,Russia and the European Union have expanded their influence and power in the Gulf region,deepening the complexity of the situation in the Gulf region. In order to safeguard their own interests and fight against hostile forces,the Gulf countries are in the process of building a new round of alliance system,which increases the unpredictability of the situation in the Gulf region.

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    作者简介
    余国庆:余国庆,中国社会科学院西亚非洲研究所研究员。
    陈瑶:陈瑶,中国社会科学院大学硕士研究生。
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