本报告基于独创和首倡检测指标逆向推演测算合理性现实差距和预期目标:①假定当前全国主要基本公共服务保障人均值趋近弥合地区差,公共教育、文化、卫生投入和社会保障支出分别应为现有值112。70%、125。38%、107。59%和116。10%;假定当前全国各类单位就业人员平均工资趋近弥合地区差,非私营单位、私营单位就业人员平均工资分别应为现有值108。50%、105。68%。②假定2020年全国公共服务、社会保障投入实现历年人均值最小地区差,至2020年年均增长分别应达19。50%、16。49%;假定2020年全国居民收入、总消费实现历年最佳比值及历年人均值最小城乡比,至2020年年均增长分别应达14。51%、18。02%。③假定2035年全国公共教育、文化、卫生投入人均值弥合地区差,至2035年年均增长分别应达17。51%、14。70%和21。29%;假定2035年全国居民收入、总消费人均值弥合城乡比,至2035年年均增长分别应达12。81%、11。41%。四大区域、31个省域现实差距和预期目标同步测算。
<<By the original and initiative method of the test index reverse deduction,the reasonable realistic gap and the expected goals are measured as follows:(1)If the current countrywide per capita expenditure for the major basic public services and social security tend to bridge the regional gaps,the expenditure for public education,culture,health and social security will be 112.70%,125.38%,107.59% and 116.10% respectively of the current value. If the current countrywide average wages of the employed persons in all kinds of units tend to bridge the regional gaps,the average wages of the employed persons in the non-private units and private units will be 108.50% and 105.68% respectively of the current value.(2)If the countrywide comprehensive expenditure for the public services and the social security achieves the lowest regional gap in per capita value of the past years to 2020,the average annual growth will reach 19.50% and 16.49% respectively by 2020. If the countrywide household income and total consumption achieve the best ratio in the past years,and synchronously achieve the lowest urban-rural ratio in per capita value of the past years to 2020,the average annual growth of the household income and total consumption will reach 14.51% and 18.02% respectively by 2020.(3)If the countrywide per capita expenditure for public education,culture and health bridge the regional gaps to 2035,the average annual growth will reach 17.51%,14.70% and 21.29% respectively by 2035. If the countrywide per capita household income and total consumption bridge the urban-rural ratio to 2035,the average annual growth will reach 12.81%,11.41% respectively by 2035. The realistic gap and the expected target of 31 provinces in the four regions are measured simultaneously.
<<Keywords: | Society-buildingBalanced DevelopmentGap MeasurementCountrywide Various ProvincesTarget Prediction |