与东南亚、欧盟等相比,东北亚区域的经济合作机制已远远落后。美国新总统特朗普在2017年的就任并宣布退出TPP,给TPP参与国家带来不可预期的打击,预示着需重新制定亚太地区新的贸易和投资自由化的框架。韩国是东北亚区域内推进FTA政策最具影响力的国家,本文在展示东北亚地区FTA的概况的同时,通过梳理韩国相关政策,展望其给予东北亚FTA的影响,并利用均衡(CGE)模型,对东北亚的FTA的经济效果进行量化展示。
<<Compared with Southeast Asia and the European Union,the economic cooperation mechanism in the Northeast Asian region has fallen far behind. The new President of the United States Donald Trump took office in 2017 and announced his withdrawal from the TPP,which has caused an unpredictable blow to TPP member countries and predicted that the new framework for trade and investment liberalization in the Asia Pacific region will be redefined. This paper presents an overview of the FTAs in Northeast Asia,and predicts the future influence of South Korea’s related policies on Northeast Asian FTAs. At the same time,by using the equilibrium(CGE)model,the economic effects of FTA in Northeast Asia will be quantitatively demonstrated.
<<Keywords: | FTANortheast AsiaCGE |