自2018年始,信托业就进入了严监管周期。当年上半年,信托业面临严厉的去杠杆和去通道监管。随着经济金融形势日趋严峻,以资管新规实施为代表的金融监管政策出现了缓和性的调整。信托业的严监管也开始同步调整。尽管如此,在2018年前三季度,信托业经营规模出现了罕见的连续收缩。因此可以说,信托业经营已经进入衰退周期。我们预计2019年信托业的严监管形势将进一步好转,但是同业竞争和经济金融形势而导致的风险管理压力可能进一步增强。
<<Since the beginning of 2018,the trust industry has entered a period of strict supervision. In the first half of the year,the trust industry faced severe deleveraging and de-channeling supervision. With the increasingly severe economic and financial situation,the financial supervision policies represented by the implementation of the New Rules of Asset Management has undergone a moderate adjustment. Strict supervision of the trust industry also began to adjust. Even so,in the first three quarters of 2018,the trust industry witnessed a rare consecutive contraction in business scale. So to say,it has entered a recession cycle. We expect that in 2019,the strict supervision situation of the trust industry will be further relaxed. However,the risk management pressure from the competition and economic and financial situation may be further strengthened.
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