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谢伏瞻
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    运行在艰难之中——新一届黑红大联盟的开局之年

    摘要

    以默克尔为首的第三届大联合政府仍有所建树,在其推动下完成的若干改革立法对解决矛盾、促进发展应有正面效应。因受三党间对立与冲突的影响,开局之年的大联合政府不得不运行在艰难之中,前半年甚至两次出现与泽霍费尔有关的致使联盟党及黑红大联盟濒临解体的危机,以致形成专注内斗而疏于理政的局面。默克尔下半年放弃争取党主席连任的决定对基民盟和大联合政府产生重大影响。克兰普-卡伦鲍尔出任基民盟新主席。本届政府第二年的运行仍将面临诸多不确定因素,其中包括“默克尔的总理任期”、各党派在选举年的表现及其后续效应乃至大联合政府中各执政伙伴间新的纷争与内斗的产生等。

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    Abstract

    The third black-red coalition government led by Merkel is still successful. Its reform legislation should in general have a positive effect on resolving contradictions and promoting development. Affected by antagonism and conflict among the three parties,the grand coalition had to overcome,in the first half of 2018,a number of difficulties. During this time there were even two fully-fledged crises related to the Minister of the Interior,Horst Seehofer,that brought the coalition parties and the black-red coalition to the verge of disintegration;they led to infighting and a neglect of governance. Merkel’s decision not to stand again for the re-election of her party’s chairmanship in the second half of the year had a significant impact on the CDU and the grand coalition government:Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer became the CDU’s new chairman. The second year of the current government will still be fraught with many uncertainties,including the question of Merkel’s tenure as Federal Chancellor,the performance of the party in various elections,and the emergence of new disputes and infighting among the governing partners in the grand coalition government.

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    作者简介
    王广成:王广成,上海市现代管理研究中心资深翻译。
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