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谢伏瞻
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李培林
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    “一带一路”国际产能合作进展与风险探析

    摘要

    产业是经济之本,产业基础薄弱是大量发展中国家的软肋。中国与“一带一路”沿线国家进行产能合作,既契合“一带一路”沿线国家工业化、城镇化的迫切需求,也有利于中国产业竞争力提升和迈进世界制造强国的行列。目前“一带一路”国际产能合作稳步推进,表现在国家间政治互信增强,合作环境不断优化;产能合作框架不断完善并纳入机制化轨道;境外经贸合作区成为中南产能合作的重要载体;“一带一路”沿线的投资和贸易快速发展。但“一带一路”建设也面临外部国际环境日益复杂、国际负面舆论压力、多重风险交织叠加三个方面的主要挑战。

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    Abstract

    Industry is the foundation of economy. Weak industrial base is the weakness of a large number of developing countries. Productivity cooperation between China and the countries along the Belt and Road not only meets the urgent needs of the southern countries for industrialization and urbanization,but also helps China to improve its industrial competitiveness and become a worldwide powerful manufacturing country. Currently,“the Belt and Road” productivity cooperation is steadily forging ahead and makes many new progresses. One of these progresses is that Political trust among countries is being strengthened. Another progress is that Cooperative environment is continuously being optimized. Besides,Productivity cooperation framework is continuously being improved and institutionalized. Overseas Economic and Trade Cooperation Zones have become important carriers of productivity cooperation between China and southern countries. Investment and trade are growing rapidly along “the Belt and Road”. But,there are also three main challenges in “the Belt and Road” productivity cooperation,including the increasingly complex external international environment,negative international public opinion pressure and the overlapping of multiple risks.

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    作者简介
    于明言:于明言,经济学博士,中共天津市委党校经济学教研部副教授,主要研究方向为国际经济、区域经济。
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