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    世界煤炭市场:结构调整再平衡

    摘要

    应对气候变化,加快推进能源的低碳化转型已成为全球共识。随着天然气和可再生能源的发展,煤炭在全球一次能源消费中的比重不断下降。随着可再生能源的进一步开发利用,其对煤炭消费减量替代的作用将更加显著。本报告首先对世界煤炭市场及形势进行分析,具体包括世界、中国和印度煤炭市场的需求、供给、价格以及市场发展趋势;其次,重点分析了世界煤炭市场变化的空间结构、世界主要产煤国煤炭产业政策;最后分析了世界和中国的可再生能源投资、技术的发展现状和趋势,以及对煤炭供需的影响。

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    Abstract

    Tackling climate change and accelerating the low-carbon transformation of energy has become a global consensus. With the development of natural gas and renewable energy,the proportion of coal in the global primary energy consumption declined continuously,with a share of 27.6% in 2017,which is the lowest level since 2004. In the Chinese market,the share of coal in primary energy consumption fell to 59.0% in 2018,which is the lowest level in history. With the further development and utilization of renewable energy,the effect of coal consumption reduction and substitution will be more significant. This report first analyzes the world coal market and the situation,including the demand,supply,price and market development trend of the coal market in the world,China and India respectively. Secondly,the report focuses on the analysis of the spatial structure of the changes in the world coal market,and the coal industry policy of the world’s major coal-producing countries. Finally,the paper analyzes the present situation of renewable energy investment,technical status and development bottleneck in the world and China,and its influence on coal supply and demand.

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    作者简介
    宋梅:宋梅,管理学博士,中国矿业大学(北京)教授,博士生导师,研究领域包括能源经济与战略、区域经济和低碳经济等。
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