2008年金融危机以来,中国地方政府债务增长迅速,在中央有效的债务监管政策引导下,地方政府显性债务风险基本可控。值得关注的是,2014年新预算法实施以来,地方政府各类违法违规的融资行为不断增多,导致所谓隐性债务风险开始攀升。为此,中央和财政部门已经着手进行隐性债务问责与监控制度建设,各地纷纷采取相应的化债措施来抑制隐性债务增长。基于对现有隐性债务问题的分析,从不确定思维和行为主义出发,加快进行财税、投融资、行政体制改革,建立偿债基金制度等方面给出未来隐性债务风险监管的政策建议。
<<Since the financial crisis in 2008,the debt of local governments in China has grown rapidly. Under the guidance of the central government’s effective debt regulation policies,the risk of explicit debt of local governments is basically controllable. It is noteworthy that,since the implementation of the new budget law in 2014,various illegal financing actions of local governments have been increasing,leading to the rise of implicit debt risk. To this end,the central and financial departments have begun to build the system of accountability and monitoring of implicit debt,and various local governments have also adopted corresponding measures to restrain the growth of implicit debt. Based on the analysis of the existing implicit debt problem,we put forward the principles and policy suggestions for the future regulation of implicit debt risk.
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