2018年,我国高聚集游客群安全事故处于高发态势,安全形势不容乐观;事故分布呈现时空分散特征,防控难度不容小觑;安全管理难度大,亟待共建共治。对高聚集游客安全事故剖析发现,高聚集游客群安全事故分布具有一定的时空集中性,如在“十一”黄金周高发、在山岳型景区高发,且高聚集游客群的安全受到人员、设施设备、环境和管理等多重因素的共同影响。展望2019年,高聚集游客群将朝出现频率常态化、风险隐患多样化、人群管理智能化、安全管理个性化等方向发展,相关管理单位应进一步强化风险预防能力、加大监测预警力度、构建综合治理体系、加强事后调整能力。
<<In 2018,the safety accidents of highly aggregated tourist crowds (HATCs) in China are at a high rate,accidents occur frequently,and the safety situation is not optimistic. Accidents are distributed spatially and temporally,so it is difficult to prevent. Therefore,the control and management should not be underestimated. Because of the complexity of security management of HATCs,the co-construction and co-governance effort cannot be ignored. Accidents distribution characteristics of space and time of HATCs are analyzed,this paper found that there is a certain spatio-temporal concentration of HATCs,as in the “10.1” golden week,mountain scenic area. The safety of HATCs is influenced by personnel,facilities,environment and management,and other multiple factors mutual influence. Looking forward to 2019,HATCs will develop towards the direction of normalized frequency,risk diversification,intelligent crowd management,personalized safety management,etc. It is necessary to further strengthen the risk prevention ability,enhance the monitoring and early warning,build a comprehensive management system,and strengthen the ability of post-event adjustment.
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