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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
蔡 昉
    中国社会科学院国家高端智库首席专家,学部委员,学部主席团秘书长,研究员,博士生导师。先后毕业于中国人民大学、中国... 详情>>
李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    变中求稳的中国工业经济——2018年工业经济运行分析与2019年展望

    摘要

    2018年中国工业投资增速回升,高技术制造业加快增长,但国际环境不稳定、不确定因素更加明显。中国工业发展呈现结构优化、整体趋稳,但面临各方挑战,既包括工业企业经济效益回落,也包括工业企业营运能力下降、回款难度增大、汽车行业增长显著放缓等。中国工业经济发展应充分体现短期应对与中长期改革发展相结合思想,一方面扩需求,努力实现工业经济平稳增长,另一方面继续保持战略定力和战略耐心,深化供给侧结构性改革,全力推动工业经济高质量发展。

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    Abstract

    China’s industrial investment growth rate rebounded in 2018,and high-tech manufacturing industry accelerated growth. In the face of the unstable international environment and the more obvious uncertainties,China’s industrial development has undergone structural optimization and overall stability. However,we should also see challenges from all sides,such as the decline in economic returns of industrial enterprises,the decline in the operational capacity of industrial enterprises,and the difficulty of returning funds. At the same time,the slowdown in the growth of the automobile industry is worthy of attention. China’s industrial economic development should fully reflect the combination of “short-term response and medium-and long-term reform and development”. On the one hand,we will expand demand and strive to achieve steady growth of the industrial economy. On the other hand,we will continue to maintain strategic and strategic patience and deepen the supply-side structure. Reform and make every effort to promote the high-quality development of the industrial economy.

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    作者简介
    黄群慧:黄群慧,中国社会科学院工业经济研究所所长,研究员,博士生导师。
    张航燕:张航燕,中国社会科学院工业经济研究所助理研究员。
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