2017年4月以来的本轮经济景气收缩将在2019年上半年结束,下降幅度相对较小。2019年经济景气在“偏冷”区间可能呈现先降后稳、稳中有升的走势,预测2019年GDP增长6。3%~6。4%,CPI上涨2%左右。经济和物价周期波动将继续呈现新常态下的“微波化”特征。
<<The current economic contraction since April 2017 will end in the first half of 2019,with a relatively small decline. In 2019,the economic boom may show a trend of first falling,then stable,steady and rising. It is predicted that GDP growth will be 6.3% to 6.4% in 2019,and CPI will increase by about 2%. Economic and price cycle volatility will continue to show the “microwave” characteristics of the new normal.
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