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    2018年北京市投资形势分析及2019年展望

    摘要

    2018年,北京市投资增长转负,全社会固定资产投资下降9。9%,创近十年来新低。在城市减量集约发展背景下,投资更加注重契合首都发展方向,持续加码补短板和改善民生投资,优化投资布局,但投资增长面临较大下行压力、民间投资活力不足、土地利用方式不灵活、投资理念转变导致的投资效率回落等问题仍值得关注。展望2019年,投资将继续发挥对经济稳增长的支撑作用和引领经济结构转型的关键作用,更加注重有效投资,推动投资降幅大幅收窄,预计全社会固定资产投资下降2%。

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    Abstract

    In 2018,Beijing’s investment growth turned negative,and the fixed asset investment of the whole society fell by 9.9%,the lowest record was made in the past decade. Under the background of urban intensification and intensive development,investment pays more attention to the development direction of the capital,continue to increase the shortcomings and improve the investment of people’s welfare,and optimize the investment layout. However,problems such as large downward pressure on investment growth,insufficient vitality of private investment,land using inflexible,and a decline in investment efficiency caused by changes in investment philosophy are still worthy of attention. Looking forward to 2019,investment will continue to play a supporting role in supporting stable economic growth and leading the transformation of economic structure. It will pay more attention to effective investment and promote a sharp decline in investment decline. It is estimated that the fixed asset investment of the whole society will fall by 2%.

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    作者简介
    司彤:司彤,北京市经济信息中心研究部经济师,研究方向为固定资产投资、财政税收等。
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