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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
蔡 昉
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    2018年北京市经济形势分析与2019年展望

    摘要

    2018年,北京市经济增长在合理范围之内,经济结构持续优化,外需增长强劲,内需消费主导格局进一步巩固,“高精尖”产业结构加快形成,经济整体运行效率和发展动力持续改善。2019年,世界环境发生深刻变化,国内经济下行压力加大,北京市依然处于主动调整转型的势能积蓄期,结构优化升级中总需求将有所分化,供需双双放缓下工业增速将下降,服务业增速将保持平稳,预计全年经济增长将回落到6。3%左右。

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    Abstract

    In 2018,Beijing’s economic growth was within a reasonable range,the economic structure continued to be optimized,external demand grew strongly,and the domestic consumption pattern was further consolidated. The “advanced and sophisticated high-tech” industrial structure was accelerated form,and that economic efficiency and momentum have been continued to improve. In 2019,the world economic environment has undergone profound changes,and the downward pressure on the domestic economy has pressed. Beijing is still in the period of active adjustment the transformation of potential energy. The total demand will be differentiated in the structural optimization and upgrading. The industrial growth rate will be declined both supply and demand slow down. The growth rate of the service industry will remain stable. It is expected that the annual economic growth will fall back to 6.3%.

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    作者简介
    刘岚芳:刘岚芳,北京市经济信息中心研究部主任、高级经济师,主要研究方向为宏观经济。
    奚春:奚春,北京市经济信息中心研究部经济师,主要研究方向为宏观经济、产业经济等。
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