2018年度股市运行的基本特点是股价持续下跌,估值创历史新低。股市低迷的主要原因有三点:上市公司债务违约及财务欺诈事件增加,股市投资者及上市公司股东的杠杆资金爆仓案例批量出现,《关于规范金融机构资产管理业务的指导意见》(简称“资管新规”)导致进入股市的新增资金减少。展望2019年,股市仍将处在艰难寻底的过程中,估值体系正在重构,风险逐渐释放,投资者需要耐心等待投资机会。
<<Declining stock price and historically-low valuation characterize China’s stock market in 2018. Behind this are 3 reasons:number of debt default and financial fraud cases of listed companies are ever increasing;the leveraged funds of investors and shareholders suffer from margin call or even go bust;new asset management rule hinders the entrance of new funds. Forward-looking in 2019,the stock market is still bottoming out while rebuilding valuation framework. Risk is yet to be released and investors should wait for investment opportunity patiently.
<<Keywords: | ValuationStock Market VolatilityNational Equities Exchange and QuotationsEquity Pledge Crisis |