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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
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    中国城乡文化教育消费需求景气总体评价——20年以来分析与2017年度...

    摘要

    2017年,全国城乡居民文教消费需求继续保持增长:总量增长9。93%,达到29695。31亿元;人均值增长9。31%,达到2141。91元。以人均值衡量,文教消费年度增长较明显低于产值增长,也略微低于城乡居民收入增长,但明显高于居民总消费增长,而显著低于居民积蓄增长。全国文教消费城乡比指数比上年缩小1。38%,地区差指数比上年缩小0。38%。城乡差距、地区差距正是我国“不平衡不充分的发展”最具代表性的方面。2017年全国总体城乡综合景气指数测算:1997年以来20年纵向测评、2002年以来15年纵向测评、2007年以来10年纵向测评、2012年以来5年纵向测评显著高于基数值,一年以来纵向测评略微高于基数值;城乡、地区无差距年度横向测评明显低于理想值,主要原因在于城乡差距、地区差距仍持续存在。

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    Abstract

    In 2017,the countrywide overall culture and education consumption demand in urban and rural areas continued to maintain growth:The total culture and education consumption went up by 9.93%,reaching 2969.531 billion yuan;the per capita value went up by 9.31%,reaching 2141.91 yuan.As measured by per capita value,the annual growth of culture and education consumption in urban and rural areas was certainly lower than the GDP growth,slightly lower than the residents' income growth and evidently higher than the total consumption growth,also remarkably lower than the savings growth.The disparity in culture and education consumption between urban and rural areas shrank by 1.38%;the regional gap of culture and education consumption in urban and rural areas among various provinces shrank by 0.38% over the previous year.It is the disparities between rural and urban areas,among regions that mostly represent China's unbalanced and inadequate development.The status evaluations of the countrywide overall culture and education consumption demand in urban and rural areas in 2017 are as follows:The vertical evaluation of two decades since 1997,15 years since 2002,10 years since 2007,5 years since 2012 are remarkably higher than the base value and 1 years since previous year is slightly higher than the base value.The annual lateral evaluation without urban-rural and regional gaps is evidently lower than the ideal value,because of the continuous existing disparity of the urban-rural and the regional gaps.

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    作者简介
    王亚南:王亚南,云南省社会科学院研究员,文化发展研究中心主任,主要研究方向为民俗学、民族学及文化理论、文化战略和文化产业研究
    刘婷:刘婷,云南省社会科学院民族文学研究所研究员,博士,主要研究方向为文化人类学
    方彧:方彧,中国老龄科学研究中心副研究员,中国社会科学院博士,主要研究方向为口头传统、老龄文化和文化产业研究。
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