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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    2018年农业对外开放形势及2019年展望

    摘要

    2018年中国农产品贸易逆差继续扩大,传统劳动密集型农产品,如蔬菜、水产品顺差继续缩小,而水果首次出现了逆差。显然,自2004年国内农产品贸易首次出现逆差以来,趋势已经不可逆转,因此需要重新审视农产品贸易的功能和定位。实际上,无论是农业利用外资还是农业对外投资,由于数据口径等技术原因,在很大程度上被低估了,农业双向投资将会进一步增长。在农产品贸易与农业双向投资的带动作用下,农业科技合作也将会同步扩大。

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    Abstract

    In 2018,the adverse trade balance of China in agricultural products continued to expand.For traditional labor-intensive agricultural products such as vegetables and aquatic products,their trade surplus continued to shrink.But there was a trade deficit in fruits for the first time.Obviously,it can be seen that the trend has been irreversible since the initial appearance of domestic agricultural trade deficit in 2004.Therefore,the function and orientation of agricultural trade should be reassessed.In fact,due to statistical caliber and other technical reasons,no matter for foreign capital utilized in agriculture or for the foreign capital invested from agriculture,their functions have been largely underestimated,and agricultural two-way investments will further increase.Under promotional function of agricultural product trade and agricultural two-way investments,the agricultural science and technology cooperation will also be expanded simultaneously.

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    作者简介
    胡冰川:胡冰川,管理学博士,中国社会科学院农村发展研究所研究员,研究方向为农产品贸易、农产品市场政策的数量评估。
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