2017年世界经济增速明显提升,劳动市场持续改善,全球物价水平温和上升,大宗商品价格有所上涨,国际贸易增速提升。同时,国际直接投资增长缓慢,全球债务持续积累,金融市场出现泡沫。2018年全球经济有望持续复苏,但经济增长基础尚不稳固,面临很多挑战。由于持续低油价和地区冲突,2017年中东地区经济增速出现大幅回调,尤其是石油出口国经济疲软,石油进口国经济则稳健增长。2018~2019年,受益于全球经济持续复苏、结构性改革、油价上升及地缘政治环境改善,中东经济将逐渐好转,石油进口国经济复苏势头更为强劲。但结构性低油价、多样化发展效果不彰及持续性政治风险削弱了投资者的信心等因素仍将限制该地区经济的加速发展。
<<In 2017,the world economy increased significantly,the labor market continued to improve,the global price level has risen gently,the price of commodities rose and the growth of international trade increased. At the same time,the growth of Foreign direct investment was slow,the global debt continued to accumulate,and the financial market bubbled.The global economy is expected to continue to recover in 2018,but the foundation for economic growth is not stable and faces many challenges. As a result of low oil price and regional conflict,the economy of the Middle East region in 2017 has been sharply slowdown,especially the economic weakness of the oil exporters,which is greatly lower than the economic growth in 2016,while the economy of the oil importing countries is growing steadily.2018-2019,the economic prospects of the Middle East countries will be modest because of the sustained global recovery,structural reform,the rising oil price and the geopolitical environment. But the factors such as low structural oil price,poor development effect and weakening investor confidence will still limit the accelerated development of the region's economy.
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