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谢伏瞻
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    稳健中性取向下的中国货币金融运行

    摘要

    2018年我国经济运行总体平稳,前三季度GDP增长6。7%。中国人民银行继续实施稳健中性的货币政策,根据经济金融形势变化,加强前瞻性预调微调,为供给侧结构性改革和高质量发展营造适宜的货币金融环境。当前银行体系流动性合理充裕,市场利率中枢有所下行,货币信贷和社会融资规模适度增长,宏观杠杆率保持稳定。预计2019年货币政策仍将保持稳健基调,前瞻性、灵活性、针对性进一步提高。要着力疏通传导机制,把握好稳增长与去杠杆、强监管的关系,提高金融服务实体经济水平。

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    Abstract

    In 2018,our economy is on the whole stable with the GDP growing at 6.7% in the first three quarters. The People’s Bank of China continues to carry out the prudent and neutral monetary policies. In line with the financial dynamics,The People’s Bank of China takes pre-emptive adjustment and fine tuning measures when necessary to create sound monetary and financial environment for the supply-side structural reform and high-quality development. Liquidity of the banking system currently remains at a reasonable and ample level,interest rates have slight downward movements,monetary credit and aggregate financing have seen moderate growth,and macro leverage ratio remains stable. It is predicted that the monetary policy will remain prudent in 2019,and will be more forward-looking,flexible and targeted. We must improve the transmission mechanism,and balance economic growth against deleverage and rigorous supervision to enable finance to better serve the real economy.

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    作者简介
    秦栋:秦栋,供职于中国人民银行调查统计司。
    李倩:李倩,供职于中国人民银行调查统计司。
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