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    中英关系述评:从“天然伙伴”到“规则伙伴”

    摘要

    2017/2018年,与英国脱欧的不确定性以及国际形势的复杂多变性相比,“黄金时代”的定位赋予了中英合作难能可贵的相对稳定性。双边关系务实推进,两国政治、经济与人文科技等交流总体向好,“一带一路”框架下大项目合作亦取得实质进展。与此同时,英国与欧盟的脱欧谈判也步入“关键期”,内外政策正相应调整,影响外溢。此外,英国国内在维护“基于规则的国际体系”、投资审查以及南海等问题上存在不同的声音,亦影响了梅政府对华政策的稳定性。未来一段时期,如果英欧能够达成共识,英国可以实现“有序”脱欧,中英有望共建“规则伙伴”关系,共同维护以联合国宪章宗旨和原则为核心的国际秩序和国际体系,以及以世贸组织为核心的多边贸易体制。后脱欧时代,贸易关系的升级也将成为中英双边关系未来发展的一大重点。

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    Abstract

    In 2017-2018,compared with the uncertainty of the Brexit and the complex variability of the international situation,the Sino-British cooperation developed relatively steadily in the “Golden Era”. Bilateral relations have been advancing in a pragmatic manner,and the exchanges in political,economic,cultural and scientific areas have improved on the whole,while substantial progress has been made in terms of cooperation on major projects under the “Belt and Road Initiative” framework. At the same period,the Brexit negotiations between the UK and the EU entered a “critical stage”,with the British government’s internal and external policies being adjusted accordingly,which has a certain impact on the outside world. In addition,on some issues such as “China and the rules-based international system”,“national security and infrastructure investment review” and “free navigation” in South China Sea,different voices in the UK exist,which have influenced May’s government’s China policy to some extent. In the near future,if Britain and the EU can reach a consensus,and Britain could “orderly” exit from the EU,as permanent members of the UN Security Council and two of the world’s major economies,China and Britain are expected to jointly build some kind of “Rules-based Partner”,to jointly uphold the international order and systems based on the purposes and principles of the UN Charter,and the multilateral trading system with the World Trade Organization(WTO)at its core. The upgrading of trade relations in the post-Brexit era will also be one of the priorities of the future development of Sino-British bilateral relations.

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    作者简介
    杨芳:杨芳,中国现代国际关系研究院欧洲所副研究员,主要从事英国与爱尔兰国别问题研究。
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