自2009年以来,中国汽车市场规模连续九年蝉联全球第一,市场增长也逐渐由增量向存量转变,进入低速增长区间。2018年在车购税优惠政策完全退出的背景下,随着鼓励内需的政策持续推进、环保政策趋严以及消费升级,2018年中国乘用车市场走势呈现出新的特征。笔者通过详细解读2018年中国乘用车细分市场显著特征,市场宏观市场消费环境,并利用大数据深入分析保有市场、二手车市场、换购市场发展形势,从而多维度测算其对新车市场的影响,最后对2018、2019年乘用车市场走势进行了预测。
<<Since 2009,the scale of China's auto market has ranked the first in the world for nine consecutive years.The market growth has gradually changed from increment to stock,and entered a low-speed growth zone.Under the background of exit of the preferential policy of car purchase tax in 2018,China's PV market in 2018 presents new characteristics with the continuous promotion of policy of encouraging domestic demand,stricter environmental protection and the impact of consumption upgrading.Through a detailed analysis of the distinct characteristics of China's PV segmentation market in 2018,a thorough insight into the macro-economy,market and consumption environment,and the use of big data to analyze the development of the car parc,used car market,and replacement market,the impact on the new car market is calculated from multiple dimensions.Finally,the trend of PV market in 2018 and 2019 is forecasted.
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