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谢伏瞻
    中国社会科学院学部委员,学部主席团主席,研究员,博士生导师。历任中国社会科学院院长、党组书记,国务院发展中心副主... 详情>>
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李培林
    男,汉族,出生于1955年5月,山东济南人,博士,研究员,全国人民代表大会社会建设委员会副主任委员,中国社会科学... 详情>>

    新疆地区人群对气候变化的感知及适应性对策分析

    摘要

    气候变化导致的极端天气和极端气候事件越来越频繁,对气候变化的认知及适应能力具有地区和群体差异。本文采用问卷调查方法,抽取495名新疆维吾尔自治区18周岁以上居民作为调查对象,从气候变化认知和适应两方面展开问卷设计,区分了城乡、性别、年龄、学历和职业等特征,从而了解新疆居民对气候变化趋势及地方主要气象灾害影响的认知差异。调查结果表明,新疆地区居民对当地气候变化程度的感知较为准确,不同人群在应对气候变化的方式选择上存在一定差异。在气象灾害预警方面,有14。7%的受访者表示收不到气象灾害预警信息,说明新疆还需充分发挥新闻媒体和手机短信的作用,加强基层预警信息接收传递。在干旱缺水的应对措施上,基础设施建设类的措施(如修建水库)更容易得到新疆地区居民的认可。

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    Abstract

    Extreme weather and climate events caused by climate change are becoming more frequent,but there are regional and group differences in the perception and adaptability to climate change.In this study,495 residents aged above 18 in Xinjiang were selected as the subjects to make a questionnaire survey.The questionnaire was designed from climate change perception and adaptation.The survey was conducted by focusing on urban and rural areas,genders,ages,educational backgrounds and occupations to find out Xinjiang residents' cognitive differences in climate change trend and major meteorological disasters.The survey results show that residents in Xinjiang region have an relatively accurate perception of the local climate change,and there are differences between different groups in coping with climate change.On the early warning of meteorological disasters,there are 14.7% respondents said they could not receive any early warning information about meteorological disasters.Xinjiang should give full play to the role of news media and cell-phone message service,and strengthen the reception and transmission of early warning information at the grassroots level.In response to drought and water shortage,infrastructure construction measures,such as reservoir building,are more easily accepted by Xinjiang residents.

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    作者简介
    赵琳:赵琳,国家气候中心工程师,研究领域为气象灾害应急管理
    王长科:王长科,国家气候中心高级工程师,研究领域为气候变化与健康
    王铁:王铁,新疆气候中心高级工程师,研究领域为气候变化应对
    李元鹏:李元鹏,新疆气候中心高级工程师,研究领域为气候信息分析
    韩雪云:韩雪云,新疆气候中心工程师,研究领域为气象灾害。
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