本文重点对2017年澳门宏观经济运行以及主要行业发展情况进行了深入分析和解读,并对2018年澳门宏观经济发展进行了预判。从2017年的数据来看,澳门经过了26个月的经济深度调整后实质增长9。1%,经济情势已恢复稳定,走出了经济深度调整的谷底。展望2018年,国际形势变化多端,中美贸易战一触即发,美元进入加息周期,全球经济复苏仍未全面明朗,澳门经济发展亦有可能面对一定的阻力,但长远发展形势乐观。笔者预计2018年澳门经济将继续向好、稳中有进,全年可望继续维持高单位数的正增长率。
<<This article mainly analyses Macau’s macroeconomic environment and development and its principal industries in 2017,and attempts to predict the economic climate of the coming year. Based on the figures in 2017,Macau’s Gross Domestic Product(GDP)has grown by 9.1% in real terms after 26 months of deep-level adjustments. The economy is recovering and growth becomes stable. It is predicted that in 2018,the economic development of Macau may face certain resistance due to uncertainties in the world situation,such as the emergence of the Sino-US trade war,the US Dollar entering a new interest rate increase cycle,and the prospect of world economic recovery not being fully clear. However,Macau’s long-term economic development remains optimistic. Macau’s economy will continue to head steadily towards a good direction in 2018,with prediction of maintaining a high single-digit growth rate for the entire year.
<<