本文基于DEA-Malmquist指数法测算了2000~2016年江苏农业全要素生产率及反映其分解指数的变化,结果表明:农业全要素生产率是江苏农业经济增长主要驱动因素,农业全要素生产率呈现持续增长的态势,但其增长率在不断波动中呈现下降的趋势;江苏农业技术不断进步而技术效率则相对略显不足;苏南地区农业全要素生产率增速明显高于苏北和苏中地区;个别地市出现技术进步和技术效率同步增长的良好势头。农业全要素生产率变化情况反映出的问题是:江苏农业集约化程度和要素生产率水平仍然较低。因此,今后主要从农业科技和生产效率等方面着手,来解决农业持续健康增长的源泉和动力问题。
<<The paper analyzes agricultural the total factor productivity and its decomposition index in Jiangsu from 2000 to 2016 based on the DEA-Malmquist Index method. The results show that:①Total factor productivity of agriculture is the main driving factor of agricultural economic growth in Jiangsu. The total factor productivity of agriculture shows a trend of sustained growth,but its growth rate is declining in constant fluctuation.②Agricultural technology is progressing and technical efficiency is slightly insufficient in Jiangsu province.③The growth of agricultural total factor productivity in South of Jiangsu is obviously higher than that in North Jiangsu and central Jiangsu.④There is a synchronous increase in technological progress and technical efficiency in individual regions. The change of agricultural total factor productivity shows that the degree of intensive agriculture and the level of factor productivity in Jiangsu are still low. Therefore,in the future,we should focus on agricultural science and technology and efficiency to solve the problem of the source and power of sustainable and healthy growth of agriculture.
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